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Russia-Ukraine War Intensifies to gain more leverage on the bargaining table ahead of the Trump-Putin Alaska Summit

Smriti Singh by Smriti Singh
August 15, 2025
in Geopolitics
Russia-Ukraine War Intensifies to gain more leverage on the bargaining table ahead of the Trump-Putin Alaska Summit

Russia-Ukraine War Intensifies to gain more leverage on the bargaining table ahead of the Trump-Putin Alaska Summit

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As U.S. President Donald Trump prepares to meet Russian President Vladimir Putin in Alaska on August 15, 2025, the Russia-Ukraine war continues to rage with unrelenting intensity.

The summit, aimed at brokering a ceasefire and potentially ending the conflict that began with Russia’s full-scale invasion in February 2022, is overshadowed by recent escalations, including lethal drone and missile strikes exchanged between the two nations.

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These developments underscore the complexity of achieving peace and raise questions about the summit’s prospects, particularly with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy excluded from the talks.

Escalating Drone and Missile Strikes

In the days leading up to the high-stakes Alaska summit, both Russia and Ukraine have intensified their military operations, signaling that neither side is ready to back down.

On Thursday, Russian authorities reported that debris from Ukrainian drones caused a fire at a Lukoil oil refinery in Volgograd. Andrey Bocharov, the governor of the Volgograd region, stated on Telegram that firefighters quickly responded to extinguish the blaze and that, according to preliminary reports, there were no casualties.

The Russian Defense Ministry further reported that its air defense systems intercepted and destroyed 44 Ukrainian drones overnight, including nine over the Volgograd region. These attacks are part of a broader Ukrainian strategy to target Russian oil and gas facilities, aiming to disrupt the Kremlin’s economic resources that fuel its military efforts.

Meanwhile, Russia has retaliated with significant strikes of its own. The Russian Defense Ministry claimed that in July, its forces targeted Ukrainian missile plants, weapons design bureaus, and rocket fuel production facilities.

These strikes reportedly destroyed several Western-supplied missile defense systems, including Patriot launchers and fire control radar, in the Dnipropetrovsk and Sumy regions. The ministry stated that these operations thwarted attempts by Ukraine and its Western allies to produce missiles capable of striking deep into Russian territory.

Such exchanges of long-range attacks highlight the ongoing tit-for-tat nature of the conflict, with both sides leveraging advanced drone and missile technology to inflict damage far beyond the front lines.

The Alaska Summit: High Stakes, High Tensions

The Trump-Putin summit, set to take place at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson in Anchorage, Alaska, marks the first face-to-face meeting between the two leaders since 2018. Trump has positioned himself as a dealmaker, expressing optimism about securing a ceasefire and potentially ending the war.

He has suggested that the summit could pave the way for further negotiations, possibly including Zelenskyy and European leaders in a subsequent meeting. However, his decision to meet Putin without Ukrainian representation has sparked alarm among Kyiv and its European allies, who fear that Trump may concede too much to Russian demands.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has been vocal about his exclusion, warning that decisions made without Ukraine’s involvement will be meaningless. He has rejected Russian demands for Ukraine to cede territory, abandon its NATO aspirations, or limit its military capabilities.

Zelenskyy’s position is clear: any peace deal must respect Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity. European leaders have echoed these concerns, emphasizing that peace cannot be achieved without Kyiv’s input.

Trump’s approach has been inconsistent, oscillating between optimism about a swift resolution and acknowledgment of the war’s complexity. He has suggested that “some swapping of territories” could be part of a deal, a proposal Zelenskyy swiftly rejected, stating that Ukraine “will not give Russia any awards for what it has done.”

Trump’s willingness to engage directly with Putin, combined with his campaign promise to resolve the conflict within 24 hours, has raised expectations but also skepticism, given the entrenched positions of both Russia and Ukraine.

Russian and Ukrainian Demands

Russia’s demands remain uncompromising. Putin has called for Ukraine to withdraw from the four regions Moscow illegally annexed in 2022—Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson—and to abandon its NATO membership ambitions.

Additionally, Russia seeks restrictions on Ukraine’s military capabilities and recognition of Russian as an official language. These conditions are seen by Kyiv and its allies as tantamount to capitulation.

Ukraine, on the other hand, insists on a full and unconditional ceasefire, the return of all occupied territories, and international security guarantees to prevent further Russian aggression.

Kyiv has also emphasized the need for a prisoner exchange and the return of deported Ukrainian children. Zelenskyy has stated that Ukraine’s NATO aspirations are non-negotiable, viewing membership as critical to long-term security.

Broader Implications

The ongoing escalation, exemplified by the drone and missile strikes, reflects the deep mistrust between Russia and Ukraine, complicating the prospects for a meaningful ceasefire. Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian oil refineries, such as the one in Volgograd and another reported in the Samara region, aim to weaken Russia’s economic capacity to sustain the war.

Similarly, Russia’s targeting of Ukrainian missile production facilities is designed to limit Kyiv’s ability to strike back.

The Alaska summit occurs against a backdrop of global concern. A Pew Research Center survey conducted from August 4-10, 2025, found that 59% of Americans lack confidence in Trump’s ability to make wise decisions regarding the Russia-Ukraine conflict, with 33% believing he favors Russia too much. European allies, meanwhile, are wary of a deal that could undermine Ukraine’s sovereignty or weaken NATO’s cohesion.

The summit’s outcome could also have implications for global energy markets and nuclear arms control, as Putin has signaled interest in discussing broader security issues.

 

As Trump and Putin prepare to meet in Alaska, the Russia-Ukraine war shows no signs of abating. The recent exchange of drone and missile strikes underscores the challenges of achieving peace in a conflict marked by deep-seated grievances and incompatible objectives.

While Trump’s diplomatic initiative is a bold move, the exclusion of Zelenskyy and the entrenched positions of both Russia and Ukraine cast doubt on the summit’s potential for a breakthrough.

For now, the war continues to exact a heavy toll, with both sides intensifying their efforts on the battlefield even as diplomatic channels are explored. The world watches closely, hoping for progress but bracing for the possibility that the conflict will persist.

Tags: alaskaPutin-Trump summitRussia-Ukarine War
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Smriti Singh

Smriti Singh

Endlessly curious about how power moves across maps and minds

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