Pakistan helping Iran to go ‘nuclear’?

Shocking reports coming out of Pakistan indicate that 16 nuclear scientists have been abducted by militant outfits. According to reports, the abducted scientists had been working for Pakistan’s Atomic Energy Commission. Pakistani officials have indicated that the Pakistani Taliban (TTP) is behind the abductions. Pakistan maintains that the militant TTP is looking to pressure the Pakistani government into meeting their demands, including halting the ongoing military offensive against TTP fighters. However a human rights activist has raised far more dangerous concerns as it has been indicated that the abduction is a coverup by the Pakistani government to smuggle Uranium to Iran.

Human rights activist Amjad Ayub Mirza has raised serious concerns regarding the reported abduction of the nuclear engineers from a uranium mining site in Lakki Marwat, located in Pakistan’s Dera Ismail Khan. Mirza has alleged that the incident may be an inside job, with suspicions of Pakistan’s military involvement in a broader scheme.

The Taliban angle

The goup being accused, the Pakistani Taliban are also known as the Tehreek-e-Taliban-e-Pakistan (TTP), it is an umbrella organization of various Islamist armed militant groups operating along the Afghan–Pakistani border. Formed in 2007 by Baitullah Mehsud, its current leader is Noor Wali Mehsud, who has publicly pledged allegiance to the Afghan Taliban, the current rulers of Afghanistan.

The Pakistani Taliban share a common ideology with the Afghan Taliban and have assisted them in the 2001–2021 war, but the two groups have separate operation and command structures. Among the stated objectives of TTP is resistance against the Pakistani state. The TTP’s aim is to overthrow the government of Pakistan by waging an armed campaign against the Pakistan armed forces and the state.

The demands of the TTP are based in the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa region, a border province of Pakistan that is claimed by Afghanistan and the Taliban. The Khyber region is dominated by the Pashtun community most of whom consider themselves as Afghans. The region had come under the control of Pakistan due to an arbitrary line drawn by the British, the Durand line although the border remains unrecognized by the Taliban.

The TTP is strongly armed and regularly conducts militant operations against the Pakistan state. This time it is being being alleged that the TTP have abducted Pakistan’s nuclear engineers. A video has also surfaced showing the kidnapped scientists, pleading for their safety. The reports suggest that in the video, the scientists, reportedly working at the Qabul Khel Atomic Energy mining project in Lakki Marwat, can be seen urging the Pakistani government and Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, to ensure their safety and accept the TTP’s demands. The distressed scientists are shown asking the government to stop military actions against the TTP in exchange for their release.

 

Allegedly, the TTP, in a statement, clarified that their intention was not to harm the nuclear scientists but to use them as leverage to pressure the Pakistani government. The group has demanded that Pakistan halt its military offensive against TTP fighters and give in to other conditions. Reports also suggest that TTP militants have looted a huge amount of uranium from Pakistan’s largest uranium mine, adding further concern to the escalating situation.

The Iran question

While the Pakistan Taliban are being accused of the kidnappings. According to human right activist Amjad Ayub Mirza, though the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) has been accused of stealing uranium from the site, Mirza believes the situation is far more complex. Mirza has accused sections of Pakistan’s military of facilitating the theft to mask alleged uranium smuggling to Iran. Mirza questioned, “How could the TTP breach a secure uranium mining area without resistance from security personnel or the military?” He also noted that no shots were fired during the incident.

Additionally, he has also questioned the “lack of an immediate response,” such as deploying helicopters to pursue the abductors. He described the security lapse as highly suspicious and indicative of possible collusion. Mirza also alleged that Pakistan’s military has been involved in covertly selling nuclear technology to rogue states, undermining global security. He urged, “The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) should launch an independent investigation into the incident.”

Highlighting the potential risks, Mirza expressed concerns over the safety of Pakistan’s nuclear assets and programs. He called on the United States to raise the issue at the United Nations Security Council, emphasizing that unauthorized transfers of nuclear technology and materials pose a major threat to the global non-proliferation regime, particularly the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT).

The Risks

Pakistan has had a very shady past with respect to its nuclear proliferation. In the past Pakistan has had illicit links, providing nuclear technology to the Muammar Gadaffi regime in Libya, the North Korean regime and even Iran. Leaked cables and testimonies have indicated that for decades the United States and the UK have held serious concerns over the safety and security of Pakistan’s nuclear assets. Many are of the opinion that Pakistan’s nuclear technology can land up in the hands of Islamists either operating in Pakistan or abroad.

Meanwhile its neighbour the Islamic Republic of Iran has been under extreme pressure for the past few years, first its economy had been completely curtailed by Western sanctions and the United States. And now since the Hamas attacks on Israel, most of Iran’s proxy groups have been decimated by the Jewish nation. Hamas, Hezbollah and then the Houthis became the prime targets for Israel and the West. Iran finds itself being increasingly cornered by its adversaries.

Many experts believe that this may lead Iran to seek a nuclear defence as a last resort. Pakistan may offer a way for Tehran to acquire this technology as the two countries share a border and Pakistan has indulged in such illicit acts in the past. If the concerns hold true this will mark a major global risk as it certifies the chances of Iran developing a nuclear weapon. Such a development can have far reaching and devastating consequences for not just the region but for global geopolitics in general.

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