• About Us
  • Careers
  • Brand Partnerships
TFI Official Merchandise
TFI English
TFI हिन्दी
Monday, June 5, 2023
TFIGlobal
TFIGlobal
Right Arm. Round the World. FAST.
No Result
View All Result
  • Premium
  • Indo-Pacific
  • Americas
  • Canada
  • Indian Subcontinent
  • West Asia
  • Europe
  • Africa
  • The Caribbean
  • Premium
  • Indo-Pacific
  • Americas
  • Canada
  • Indian Subcontinent
  • West Asia
  • Europe
  • Africa
  • The Caribbean
TFIGlobal
TFIGlobal
No Result
View All Result

Trudeau wanted to expand his foothold in Canada, ended up shrinking it

Akshay Narang by Akshay Narang
September 24, 2021
in Americas
Reading Time: 3 mins read
0
Trudeau wanted to expand his foothold in Canada, ended up shrinking it

(PC: Huntsville Doppler)

242
VIEWS
Share on FacebookShare on Twitter

Canada’s snap election results are out. And the verdict shows that status quo ante has been retained on paper. But a deeper analysis reveals that Trudeau is the biggest loser in the entire game.

An overzealous Justin Trudeau, enamoured by himself and his handling of the Covid-19 pandemic in Canada, called for the conduct of snap elections on September 20, two years ahead of the slated general elections scheduled for October 2023. The Canadian Prime Minister was of the belief that he would be able to expand his foothold over Canada, however, he has only ended up shrinking it.

Also Read

Trudeau is re-starting his most hated project probably to appease Anti-Trudeau Praises

Spain is all set for an Italian Redux 2.0

Status quo ante at the House of Commons

Not much has changed at Canada’s House of Commons. Trudeau’s Liberal Party has managed to secure 158 seats- merely one more seat than what it won in 2019. More importantly, Trudeau has again failed to breach the majority mark of 170, which means that he will lead a minority government all over again.

On the other hand, the Conservatives remain the main opposition party in the House of Commons. They have won a total of 119 seats, as against the 121 that they won in 2019. The Bloc Québécois, which backs Quebec independence, won a total of 34 seats, as against 32 in 2019 and Jagmeet Singh’s New Democrats won 25 seats which is a small gain of one seat from the 2019 elections.

Trudeau’s shrinking vote share

The first-past-the-post principle of voting can be deceptive at times. You tend to look at the winner and think he is the most popular leader in the country. However, that is not always the case. Trudeau’s vote share, for example, has been declining continuously. In 2015, Trudeau’s Liberal Party had won 184 seats with a vote share of 39.47%, as against the Conservatives who had won merely 99 seats with a vote share of 31.89%.

However, the Liberal Party registered a massive dip in its vote share in the 2019 elections at 33.12%. In fact, the Conservatives had managed to beat the Liberal Party in terms of vote share in 2019 itself by securing 34.34% of the total votes polled. Trudeau’s vote share has further shrunk this time to around 32.2% of the total votes polled. Conservatives, on the other hand, have managed to retain 34% of the votes polled.

Trudeau may have won the polls on paper, but statistically, the Liberal Party is less popular than the Conservatives, a fact that has got further reaffirmed with the recent snap poll results. In fact, Trudeau has won only because of a strong showing in Toronto, Montreal and other cities.

Why Trudeau will never be able to become a full-majority PM

The snap results have made one thing clear- Justin Trudeau will never be able to become a full-majority Prime Minister. And this is essentially related to Canada’s changing demographics and electoral dynamics. Initially, the Liberal Party was winning the immigrant and pro-immigrant vote, which had given a clear edge to the Liberals over Conservatives a decade ago.

However, edge that the Liberals used to enjoy is phasing out. Today, the immigrants who have become Canada’s “new citizens” have Jagmeet Singh-led New Democratic Party to vote for. This is why NDP’s vote share and seats are rising quickly.

This time, the NDP won 25 seats with a vote share of 17.7 per cent. Ultimately, it is expected to win more than 40 seats with a vote share of over 20 per cent. At the end of the day, whatever NDP wins will come at the expense of the Liberal Party because of the common immigrant vote bank.

The snap polls in Canada have given one major takeaway- Trudeau’s foothold in Canada is receding as the NDP eats into the Liberal Party’s vote bank, whereas the Conservatives hold on to their traditional voters. Trudeau wanted to expand his foothold in Canada, but he has clearly ended up shrinking it.

Tags: CanadaConservativesJustin TrudeauShort takes
ShareTweetSend
Previous Post

China knows it will not be accepted in CPTPP, but it is gambling away all its might to break it apart

Next Post

China is all set to try again and fail again to turn Thailand into its BRI puppet 

Also Read

A deliberate leak by the FBI shows that Biden is about to be impeached

A deliberate leak by the FBI shows that Biden is about to be impeached

May 4, 2023
US government defaults, federal reserve rushed to its rescue, but this time it will fail

US government defaults, federal reserve rushed to its rescue, but this time it will fail

May 3, 2023
NATO has a plan to bankrupt all member nations to keep 2 percent Defense spending rule alive

NATO has a plan to bankrupt all member nations to keep 2 percent Defense spending rule alive

April 27, 2023
US plans to sacrifice the UK at the altar of Ukraine

US plans to sacrifice the UK at the altar of Ukraine

April 26, 2023
Load More

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

I agree to the Terms of use and Privacy Policy.
This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

  • Trending
  • Comments
  • Latest
11th July: The date set by Victoria Nuland for WWIII

11th July: The date set by Victoria Nuland for WWIII

May 31, 2023
Alberta wildfires are not an act of God but an act of the federal government

Alberta wildfires are not an act of God but an act of the federal government

May 29, 2023
UAE’s Record Gold Purchase from Russia could have De-dollarization written all over it

UAE’s Record Gold Purchase from Russia could have De-dollarization written all over it

May 29, 2023
Oh Well, Germany is Planning a War with Russia (Psst… to Win Elections at Home)

Oh Well, Germany is Planning a War with Russia (Psst… to Win Elections at Home)

June 1, 2023
With one shocking scandal, Ursula just lost Bulgaria entirely

With one shocking scandal, Ursula just lost Bulgaria entirely

May 29, 2023
Trudeau is re-starting his most hated project probably to appease Anti-Trudeau Praises

Trudeau is re-starting his most hated project probably to appease Anti-Trudeau Praises

June 4, 2023
France and Italy defy Biden’s diktat of banning Russia completely

France and Italy defy Biden’s diktat of banning Russia completely

June 4, 2023
Germany is giving Russian Tanks a Speed Boost in Ukraine

Germany is giving Russian Tanks a Speed Boost in Ukraine

June 4, 2023
A military emergency could soon be imposed in Europe

A military emergency could soon be imposed in Europe

June 2, 2023
Its Official: Biden is waving white flag against Iran

Its Official: Biden is waving white flag against Iran

June 2, 2023
Youtube Twitter Facebook
TFIGlobal
  • About us
  • Contact Us
  • Terms of use
  • Privacy Policy

©2023 - TFI MEDIA PRIVATE LIMITED

No Result
View All Result
  • Premium
  • Indo-Pacific
  • Americas
  • Canada
  • Indian Subcontinent
  • West Asia
  • Europe
  • Africa
  • The Caribbean

©2023 - TFI MEDIA PRIVATE LIMITED

Welcome Back!

Login to your account below

Forgotten Password?

Retrieve your password

Please enter your username or email address to reset your password.

Log In

Add New Playlist

Follow us on Twitter

and never miss an insightful take by the TFIGlobal team

Follow @tfiglobal
This website uses cookies. By continuing to use this website you are giving consent to cookies being used. View our Privacy and Cookie Policy.