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Maybe, just maybe, This Ukraine plan will work

Atul Kumar Mishra by Atul Kumar Mishra
April 24, 2024
in Geopolitics
Maybe, just maybe, This Ukraine plan will work
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Politics and scandals—where would we be without them? The recent ruckus in the House over the whopping $60 billion aid package to Ukraine has everyone’s tongues wagging. After what felt like an eternity of delays, the Republican Speaker struck a cheeky little deal with the Democrats, and voila, the funds were approved. The hype is real, folks, but let’s slice through it.

Now, this juicy package isn’t just a lifeline tossed across the ocean to our pals in Kiev; it’s touted as a game-changer that could potentially turn the tides of the Ukrainian military struggles. Last summer’s flop of a counteroffensive left everyone a bit red-faced, but hey, hope springs eternal. Ukraine, buoyed by visions of grandeur from Zelensky himself, might just stop Russia’s snail-paced encroachment or—dare we dream?—mount a dazzling counterstrike.

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But here’s where the plot thickens—only about $14 billion of this gargantuan sum is actually earmarked for new American weaponry for Ukraine. Talk about a plot twist! According to reports by The Guardian and others, the lion’s share of the cash—$23 billion, to be exact—is going back into the U.S. to replenish their own military cupboards. And that’s not all; another $11 billion is keeping U.S. operations chugging along in the region, with a neat $8 billion making sure Ukraine’s government doesn’t keel over.

To the eternal optimists across the seven worlds, this aid might just prevent Ukraine from collapsing entirely. It could keep the government ticking and possibly slow Russia’s crawl, averting a disastrous scenario flagged by the Ukrainian Intelligence Committee. They warned of a potential Russian breakthrough coinciding with massive protests that could topple the Ukrainian government by summer. So, cross your fingers, and maybe, just maybe, this grand plan will work. But then again, in the high-stakes world of international politics, isn’t the house always a bit of a gamble?

Despite the U.S. shelling out a hefty aid package to Ukraine, we’re not exactly seeing the grand solution everyone hoped for. Sure, the money’s flowing, but it’s more of a trickle when it comes to flipping the military-strategic scales against Russia. The aid might keep Ukrainian officials from joining any potential rebellious choir, thanks to their wallets staying padded, but let’s not start the celebration just yet.

Now, imagine this: Russia breaks through militarily in the next few months. What’s our play then? No last-minute, Hail Mary deal between the so-called “Republicans In Name Only” (RINOs) and the Democrats would patch that crack. The U.S. might find itself choosing between a rock and a hard place—capitulate to Russia or throw NATO into the fray. Neither option is appealing, and both are politically radioactive. It’s like choosing between eating burnt noodles or just straight up swallowing the charcoal.

As for the Democrats, they’re in a real pickle. After pouring resources into Ukraine, the last thing they want is to lose it on their watch. But push the panic button and call in NATO, and they might just scare off those swing voters. They could either rally behind Trump or toss their vote to a third party in protest, potentially derailing Biden’s hopes for a second term. What a mess!

So, what has this latest aid package accomplished? Well, it certainly hasn’t reduced the odds of facing this unsavory dilemma. What it has done, rather grimly, is ensure more Ukrainians will continue to suffer in this drawn-out conflict, with no clear endgame in sight. Politics, as they say, is a ruthless game, but at what cost?

Tags: Bipartisan DealMilitary FundingNATO involvementRussian ThreatU.S. Foreign PolicyU.S. PoliticsUkraine aidUkraine conflict
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Atul Kumar Mishra

Atul Kumar Mishra

Lovable Narcissist | Whiskey Lover | Dharma Warrior | Founder, The Frustrated Indian | CEO, tfipost.com

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