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A new world order will arise from the dust of the Russia-Ukraine tensions

Vikrant Thardak by Vikrant Thardak
February 24, 2022
in Geopolitics, Russia
Reading Time: 4 mins read
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russia, ukraine,china, india
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Vladimir Putin on Thursday ordered the Russian military to undertake a military operation in eastern Ukraine’s Donbas region. Amid fears of Kyiv being toppled, the western nations have upped the game by announcing sweeping sanctions on the Kremlin.

The US-led NATO has condemned the attacks and pledged to defend every inch of NATO territory. Media reports revealed that seven loud explosions were heard early morning in Kyiv shortly after Putin gave a go-ahead to its warring military baying to retaliate against Biden’s incessant provocation

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NATO will not defend Ukraine

It would be preposterous to say that NATO will involve itself militarily to defend Ukraine. The US is no simpleton! It won’t poke Putin in the eye to keep the wrath of the Russian military at bay. Frankly speaking, Biden’s adamancy about admitting Ukraine into NATO will now end up wiping out the country’s name from the world map.

Sanctions will inevitably follow the Russian invasion, which may hardly bear any implication on the already insulated Russian economy. Russia may appear more isolated than ever on the world stage, and China may try to exploit its increased leverage against Russia in the coming years.

Read more: Kishida’s Russia policy will be the end of him

Is Russia isolated?

But for Russia, these setbacks will be short-lived given that all significant nations are openly or tacitly throwing their support behind Russia and not the US. Russia is far from being ostracized on the world stage and it enjoys a reputation among nations like India, Japan, Israel and France. Left-aligned media may not reveal the other side of the story but that’s the truth that undermines their anti-Russia agenda.

The world should wait for the dust to settle over the Ukraine crisis, and then it would witness a new world order emerge hot on the heels of NATO’s retreat from Ukraine. Here is the list of nations that are unwilling to help Biden exacerbate the Ukraine crisis.

  1. India: India has chosen its side in this crisis, and has rejected Biden’s attempts to draw a parallel between China’s actions against India and Russia’s actions against Ukraine
  2. France: Amid the Ukraine crisis, France is busy holding talks with India and reaffirming France’s pledge to counter rising Chinese influence in Indo-Pacific. So, nothing exciting for Biden here as well.
  3. Japan: The kingmaker of Japan’s politics and former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe recently said in an interview that Japan should support Ukraine but prefer its ties with Russia. Shinzo Abe is not willing to shift his nations’ attention away from China.
  4. Israel: Israel recently blocked a deal with Ukraine to supply it with the Iron dome missile-defence system, and has preferred to keep Russia in good humour.
  5. UAE:  On Wednesday, the UAE’s foreign minister telephoned his Russian counterpart to stress the “strength” of ties to Russia, and sent a clear message that it will prioritize Russia above all.
  6. Vietnam: Russia is a great defence partner of Vietnam, and is arming itself with Russian weapons to stonewall China’s efforts to usurp the South China Sea.

The list of nations supporting Russia includes all the heavyweights of the geopolitical arena including the world’s top military and economic powers. On the other hand, we have another list of nations that oppose Russia and are on the wrong side of history.

 Read more: Forget Ukraine, Putin is reunifying Belarus and Russia first

 Nations opposing Russia

The US under Joe Biden, the UK, China, Germany, Canada, Australia and Turkey together constitute this list. A question may arise about why China is being included in the first place. China realizes that it needs the west to shore up its economy. So, it has tactfully shifted its allegiance towards the US over the past week and has criticized Russia’s retaliation against the US-led Ukraine.

Similarly, the G7 nations like Canada, Australia, the UK and the US have announced sanctions on Russia. Germany is believed to have killed the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline project to punish Russia. These are the nations that still view Russia as the biggest threat to their national security and are sleepwalking on the China question.

Interestingly, this list comprises all the declining powers of the world, including Germany, the US and the UK. However, barring the US, no other country have military or economic muscles to even stand a chance against the other bloc led by powers like India and Russia.

Lastly, here is a list of nations that have so far stayed silent and have pursued a non-aligned foreign policy. African nations, South American nations, Southeast Asia, Pacific nations have found a place in the list

The Ukraine crisis is going to have a major impact on the global geopolitical map, and its end may see an emergence of the new world order. A new world, where sane powers like India, Russia, Japan and France will look to dominate while declining powers will be left cursing their fortunes.

Tags: DonbasEUNATORussiaUkraineUSA
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