The Russian economy was poised to rumble, as per Western economists due to the West’s relentless sanctions. However, in a twist of fate, the Russian economy has defied expectations and showcased a remarkable recovery. Now some reports are circulating that Russia is richer by $15Tn. Is that so?
The once-doomed ruble has emerged as the world’s top-performing currency, bouncing back by a staggering 60% against the US dollar. And who do we owe this surprising turnaround to? None other than the President of the United States, Joe Biden.
The West had anticipated the Russian economy’s collapse under the weight of crippling sanctions imposed by the US-led NATO alliance. But Putin, the master diplomat, outmaneuvered Joe and turned the tables.
With nearly 4,000 economic sanctions in place, one would think Russia’s businesses would crumble. However, the truth is quite the opposite. The energy sector, in particular, is reaping massive profits. Gazprom and Rosatom are swimming in a sea of rubles, thanks to the onset of the Ukraine war.
But wait, there’s more. According to Russian state media, the revenues of Russian businesses have nearly doubled in 2022, surpassing a quadrillion rubles for the first time in history. Yes, you read that right – a quadrillion! Business news website RBK reported that companies declared revenues of a mind-boggling 1,268 trillion rubles which means, over $15 trillion, almost double the amount recorded in 2021. Pretty huge isn’t it?
This dramatic increase is primarily attributed to the growth of export earnings, particularly in the oil and gas sector. It’s also driven by the recovery of consumer demand for goods and services. However, despite this massive revenue surge, corporate sector profits saw only a slight increase, reaching $370 billion from $350 billion in 2021, marking a modest 5.9% rise.
Now, before you get carried away, let’s clarify that firm revenues and GDP are different economic concepts.
Understand the difference
Firm revenues pertain to specific companies and reflect their financial performance, while GDP measures the overall economic activity of a nation.
Firm revenues refer to the total amount of money generated by a company or firm through its sales of goods or services. It represents the income earned by a specific business entity and is typically reported in its financial statements. In Russia’s case, it is energy.
Whereas, GDP is a macroeconomic indicator that measures the total value of all final goods and services produced within a country’s borders during a specific period, usually annually or quarterly. It provides a comprehensive measure of the overall economic activity within a country and is often used as an indicator of its economic health and size.
So, while the revenues may be staggering, it’s important to remember that they don’t directly translate to the nation’s GDP
In Russia’s case, a significant portion of its economy is controlled by government-backed oligarchs in the energy sector. Last year, Russia’s nominal GDP amounted to $1.8 trillion, a fraction of the declared revenue of its companies.
Nevertheless, this astonishing feat provides ample resources for Putin’s war effort and running the nation smoothly. It’s undoubtedly a massive failure for the West, who had hoped for a different outcome.
In this grand game of economic chess, Putin has proven to be a formidable player. The Russian economy has made a defiant comeback, painting a surprising picture of resilience and strength. As the ruble thrives and revenues soar, the world order is shifting, and Russia is claiming its place on the global stage, its almost evident now.
The $15 trillion question remains: What will this mean for the future of the global economic landscape, and how will the West respond to this unexpected turn of events? Maybe with some more stupid sanctions, just to add a little more trillions? Who knows.